HURRICANE IGOR, Tropical Storm JULIA, 9/19/2010 5:00 am

Colleagues, FORECAST: The good news is that HURRICANE IGOR weakened a little more quickly that expected. IGOR now has wind of 85 mph but is headed directly for a landfall on Bermuda late tonight or early tomorrow morning where winds will be closer to 80 mph. IGOR will continue to weaken slowly, but likely tor remain a Category 1 hurricane for next several days as it transitions to an extra-tropical Low next week in the north Atlantic. Bermuda's weather well be deteriorating today, and the Island will be subjected to tropical storm winds all day tomorrow, even after the hurricane winds pass, so large is this storm. The the threat to coastal areas (rougher seas, rip tides, etc) have slightly diminished with weakening of the storm.

DISCUSSION: Everything pretty much as forecast. Julia is dying and going NE in the mid Atlantic. There is a weak disturbance near Cape Verde, but so far, it has not shown it's hand in terms of development, but in a day or so, I will know.

NEXT FORECAST: Monday morning

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Peter S. Ray

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