Tropical Storm THOMAS 11/2/2010 4:30 am

Colleagues Not really any change in forecast, seems to be holding true so far. FORECAST: Tropical Storm TOMAS continues to move west at 11 mph with winds of 50 mph. The winds are gradually beginning to pick up and the system will turn to the north (re-curve) on Thursday. TOMAS will cross Haiti or possibly a bit west of Haiti as a Category 1 Hurricane, but this is academic because the worst part of the storm is to the east and to a tent, a wind of 75 versus 80 mph is academic. And the inevitable flooding will undoubtedly spread the infection of Cholera. More will suffer from this preventable disease do to the failures of mankind and a government.

DISCUSSION: The governing synoptic situation is unfolding as expected so far. The Turk Islands will probably be the hardest hit (southern end).

Eastern Texas should be on the watch for possible severe weather, but the rest of the USA has pleasant seasonal weather.

NEXT FORECAST: Wednesday morning.

DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.


I have set up a website and blog which may be reached at URL In this website you can find the forecast, as well as a blog of expanded interests of mine dealing with weather and climate and hurricanes, and an opportunity for you to comment as well. There is also an opportunity for you to contribute to defraying the increasing costs of maintaining this service, if and only if you want to. This must always be a not for profit public service and free as long as I have anything to do with it. But I have had offers of help in the past and it is increasingly difficult for me to underwrite all the cost, even with the generous and gracious support form Hayes Computer Systems.


Please do NOT send subscription messages to

To subscribe or unsubscribe to the hurricane forecast list send an email to with "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" as the subject. You can manage your subscription at: If someone wishes to contact me, they can send an email to

Peter S. Ray

_______________________________________________ hurricane-forecast mailing list