Colleagues, FORECAST: TOMAS is now just a Tropical Storm with winds of 70 mph which will be steadily decreasing from now on. TOMAS has cleared the Bahamas and is headed NE at 14 mph. It is of NO threat to land anywhere.
DISCUSSION: TOMAS went where predicted. Wind did do damage in Haiti, but the bigger problem is now rain and flooding and all that goes with it (largest concern is Cholera).
Most notable national weather feature in the US is the deep cold in the Southeast where nighttime lows will be below freezing in many places. Pets and plants may not be ready for this. Might want to bring Kittie and Pooch inside for a sleep-in.
If you have not checked out my blog at http://www.hurricanehunt.com I have an introduction to global warming and in the next week I will post the case "for" global warming and in a week or so after that, the case "against" the threat, and then, my analysis of the real situation. Not "wishy-washy", with clear directions on what I believe should be public policy, not emotionally driven.
NEXT FORECAST: When there is any new development. And there may not be any more this year. In any event, I will do a seasonal wrap-up at the end of November.
DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.
NEW BLOG AND DONATIONS:
I have set up a website and blog which may be reached at URL http://www.hurricanehunt.com In this website you can find the forecast, as well as a blog of expanded interests of mine dealing with weather and climate and hurricanes, and an opportunity for you to comment as well. There is also an opportunity for you to contribute to defraying the increasing costs of maintaining this service, if and only if you want to. This must always be a not for profit public service and free as long as I have anything to do with it. But I have had offers of help in the past and it is increasingly difficult for me to underwrite all the cost, even with the generous and gracious support form Hayes Computer Systems.
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Peter S. Ray
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