Tropical Storm BRET and CINDY 8/21/2011 5:am

Colleagues, I will be in Boulder, Co. next week doing research, but I will be sticking to my routine here. I can do everything remotely and will be ever more vigilant. FORECAST: Tropical Storm BRET winds have dropped to 40 mph and will continue to weaken. Present location is mid way between Bermuda and the US coast and BRET is moving to the NW at 8 mph. By this afternoon BRET will no longer be a Tropical Storm.

Tropical Storm CINDY is in the north mid Atlantic with winds of 60 mph. Although CINDY might strengthen a bit over the next few hours, possibly skirting the hurricane threshold, CINDY will quickly dissipate and be no longer be a Topical Storm in a day or so.

DISCUSSION: These storms are both entering the colder waters of the north Atlantic and just can not survive the hypothermia, anthropomorphically speaking.

NEXT FORECAST: The next sign of activity. I will be watching as it is this next month that sets the stage for "prime time" (mid August through September) But sometimes the "warm-up" act dominates the "prime time" such as in 1992.

DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.

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Peter S. Ray

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