Invest 91 8/1/2011 5am

Colleagues, Invest 91 is likely tomorrow to be named Tropical Storm Emily. Given that and the likelihood that it will have some impact on Florida I have started to communicate on it. FORECAST: Invest 91 is a concentration of storms 350 miles east of Martinique. Winds are only about 30 mph now as this storm moves generally to the NW. Most likely Hispaniola (Dominican Republic and Haiti) will be hit later this week by a Tropical Storm or Hurricane Emily. Florida is like to get something from this, although probably not a direct hit, but until it becomes a Tropical Storm, the path is hard for me to pin-point. Certainly by Wednesday or before, I should have a good idea.

DISCUSSION: There is a line of thunderstorms along line of low pressure extending eastward from the Lesser Antilles. Right now, it looks like the Bahama's could be the next area to be most directly affected after Hispaniola, late in the week.

NEXT FORECAST: Tomorrow (Tuesday) morning.

Peter Ray

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