Colleagues, Internet service has been out, although promised to be restored. This accounts for the delay. The forecasts are really doing what was forecast from the beginning, even though I didn't anticipated what LEE specifically was going to do for sure; it was such a disorganized collection of storms for so long. FORECAST: HURRICANE KATIA will not hit any land or island. It will by the end of the week have passed NC and Bermuda and be headed NE for scones.There still is the possibility of rain along the Central NE Seaboard, and rip currents. ans KATIA will strengthen some to a low Cat 3 or a strong cat 2. MSW of over 100 mph. So rough surf. TD/TS Lee is about to leave Louisiana, but putting down a lot of rain in Mississippi and Alabama and the FL Panhandle. The Gulf shore regions, while battered, seemed to survive fairly well, although the seas were pretty choppy. This whole area of Mississippi, Alabama and the Panhandle of Florida will be getting intermittent heavy rain through much of the week as LEE moves slowly NE. The east cost will get more rain from that whole frontal system as it moves to intercept KATIA. But it is safe to say that North Carolina is getting off well, all things considered. They can thank LEE and the front for that.
DISCUSSION: KATIA will head NE ad swing North and eventually NE as the front that embraces LEE move in to give the needed final push. Too bad LEE didn't go West into to Texas where it would have received a very warm Texas "HOWDY!" and welcome.
NEXT FORECAST: Tuesday morning
New Blog has been posted on http://www.hurricanehunt.com on Strom Surge, Storm Tide (surge + astronomical tide.) and High Water Mark (Storm Tide + Wave Height) Note Storm tide could be lower than Storm Surge on with a Low Tide.
DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.
NEW BLOG AND DONATIONS:
I have set up a website and blog which may be reached at URL http://www.hurricanehunt.com In this website you can find the forecast, as well as a blog of expanded interests of mine dealing with weather and climate and hurricanes, and an opportunity for you to comment as well. There is also an opportunity for you to contribute to defraying the increasing costs of maintaining this service, if and only if you want to. This must always be a not for profit public service and free as long as I have anything to do with it. But I have had offers of help in the past and it is increasingly difficult for me to underwrite all the cost, even with the generous and gracious support form Hayes Computer Systems.
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Peter S. Ray
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