HURRICANE KATIA 9/6/2011 5:30 am

Colleagues, Will be evolving as predicted. FORECAST: HURRICANE KATIA is at the same Latitude as Miami, only 950 miles East, moving NW at 10 mph with winds of 125 mph (and strengthening). It will not hit any land. North Carolina should be aware of rip currents, some surge and possibly some squalls at the end of the week, but basically, not much. Bermuda will get some squalls, surge, rip currents, but not bad. The Front that contains the remnants of LEE will bring more rain to a soaked East Coast and cause isolated flooding.

DISCUSSION: Every single credible computer model, include those I have are in 100% agreement on the path of KATIA. So, I think we can take this to the bank. Intensity is more difficult, but as I look at what is ahead, I think KATIA will intensify over the next couple of days and then begin to weaken as it turns North and recurves, 100 miles East of North Carolina's Outer Banks.

There are storms developing off the coast of Africa. I will watch these over the next few days. It is possible that we may have another system following the initial path of KATIA

NEXT FORECAST: Wednesday Morning.

Blog on on Storm Surge posted.

Peter Ray

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