Tropical Storms Nate and Maria 9/11/2011

Colleagues, Forecasts holding so far. FORECAST: Tropical storm Nate will make landfall 75 miles south of Texas today as seems to be their wont this season. No rain for Texas :(

Tropical Storm Marina will likely become a weak hurricane mid week. It is currently just NE of Puerto Rico with winds of 60 mph moving NW at 12 mph and beginning to recurve. It will pass NC later in the week about 125 miles to the East and 50 or so miles to the West of Bermuda. It is following close to the path of KATIA as is its wont. This is a persistent pattern and has dominated the season so far and may the remainder of the season.

DISCUSSION: This is a rare personal reflection on the anniversary of 9/11 where 40 heroes were instantly made in Pennsylvania, and others is New York and Washington, DC; reflecting both the best and the worst of humanity. We remember not only because of the audacity of the act, but also because of its scale. Yet all loss, even collective loss, is individual and personal. Every day, whether a car wreck, in a hospital bed after a long fight with a disease, or a young father or mother, a son or daughter in a dusty, forbidden country, or the result of a cataclysmal event such as 9/11. All losses are individual losses and all are equally significant to the individual family. To often we let the single losses go unreflected, and focus on the collection of individual losses. Not that those are less deserving, but my point is all losses are equally deserving of our thoughts, and in a special way for those who choose give their precious lives so that others they don't even know might live and in doing so turn whole families forever up-side-down where their sacrifice takes on lasting new dimensions and new heroes are made.

NEXT FORECAST: Tomorrow morning , Monday (but little change expected all next week) Blog has serious problems and will be down for two weeks getting fixed. I am very very sorry for that.

DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.


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Peter S. Ray

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