Tropical Storm OPHELIA 9/24/2011 6 am

Colleagues, FORECAST: Tropical Storm OPHELIA ,with winds of 50 mph, is going to continue to weaken as it moving nearly NW at 13 mph. OPHELIA is located about 450 miles East of Leeward Islands. By Sunday Ophelia should be just north of the Leeward Islands. OPHELIA barely regained its status of a Tropical Storm. The turn to the north has begun and will be in earnest and will be going North by mid week. No threat to FLORIDA and anywhere along the East Coast.

There are other systems in the Eastern Atlantic, but they also pose no threat to land.

DISCUSSION: OPHELIA is under the influence of a trough. Hostile shear will keep it weak Path will be probably to the east of Bermuda, and it may strengthen some by the end of next week Will pass Bermuda next weekend. Some strengthening is possible in a few days. Some models predict a hurricane in a few days, but I just don't see it. The final track will depend on if it does nor does not strengthen. But landfall is not one of the options.

NEXT FORECAST: Since no land is threatened, this was going to be the final Forecast on OHPELIA, unless someone who gets the forecasts is interested on how close it will come to Bermuda this will be the last forecast on OPHELIA. Frankly, I worry about filling up your inbox and being viewed as spam.

Peter Ray

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