Colleagues, FORECAST: We have TWO Tropical Storms in the Atlantic, OPHELIA and PHILIPPE that will not make landfall anywhere.
OPHELIA will be north of the Leeward Island tomorrow and move progressively to the NE and in a week to the North. Although winds are only 40 mph now, OPHELIA, if anything will weaken over the next few days, possibility no longer being a tropical storm. If there is anything left by mid week, it will strengthen again some. But it will not affect any land, regardless. The problem is shear and increasing colder waters. And our extraordinary fronts which, for the past several years have extended way to the south.
PHILIPPE is just off the African coast and will strengthen and head North in the eastern Atlantic by mid week. Absolutely no threat except to potentially some island in the eastern Atlantic.
DISCUSSION; It will be increasingly difficult for a storm forming in the eastern Atlantic to reach the USA. The threat, if any, will more likely be due to those that form in the vicinity of the Caribbean Sea or the Leeward Islands. Waters are beginning to cool now.
NEXT FORECAST: When there is a change.
DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.
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Peter S. Ray
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