HURRICANE RINA 10/27/2011 4:30am

Colleagues, We can forget about Rina FORECAST: HURRICANE RINA approaches Cancun today as a weak Category 1 hurricane which will by tomorrow be a tropical storm and remain so through the weekend. It will not leave the Yucatan Channel (between the Yucatan and Cuba) this week, if ever. At least for a week, and probably forever, the USA is completely out of the picture for RINA becoming a hurricane again and coming to our shores.

DISCUSSION: Dry air intrusion is killing RINA. Since it will not be a strong entity aloft, the mid-level trough will have little influence and RINA will do the loop-de-loop thing in the Yucatan Channel. The rest of the tropics also cooled down. It is unlikely RINA will get a second chance, but if it does it would not be until at least a week. It looks like RINA is down for the count and her days, like ours, are numbered. Although I hope your number is MUCH higher. Eventually the remnants might bring some rain to south Florida in a week or so in the form of thunderstorms or Nimbo-Stratus rain.

NEXT FORECAST: Tomorrow, Friday morning.

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Peter S. Ray

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