Tropical Storm Beryl 5:00 am 5/28/2012

Colleagues, Today is Memorial day. A day of picnics, beaches, no work for many, heralding the beginning of Summer, Hurricane Season, sales, and a day of reflection, of thanks and remembrance. Today is a day to honor those men and women who have or are serving in our Armed Forces. To honor those whose service has kept our way of life, and to reflect on loss, particularly the wounds that never heal or those who gave up all their hopes and dreams for us. My experience is that returning veterans understand sacrifice, citizenship, opportunity, family, and committment better than most. Many have experience unspeakable horrors and know what a special family is and what loss is at an early age. For those returning we owe them, as a country all it takes and not one bit less, to heal wounds that are both visible and invisible. When we send men and women into harms way, we have a debt and committment to them that does not end. For those men and women who do not return home alive to their family, parents, children, and siblings, and will never enjoy the life that they gave their life to preserve, all we can do is remember them, live our lives better, and not forget. I think that is all they would want -- not to be forgotten, to be missed. Most loss is tragic, whether it be by death, relationships, anything. It profoundly affects the present generation, but the effect continues in family history. While the source is frequently forgotten, the effect can have a rippling effect for generations because of the change in the course of family history that was brought about by the loss.

I hope every one has a great holiday, but if given the chance, say "thanks" to a present or past service member, men and women, and remember our ongoing committment to those wounded, and remember those who you can not see, and their families, those who gave you this holiday and just pause to remember them, ... just remember.

FORECAST: Tropical Storm Beryl is now half way towards Lake City along the I-10 corridor with maximum winds of about 45 mph but those are along the coast. Later today, along I-10, probably around Madison, Beryl will stall out and begin to move northward and rather sharply turn NE. All this time Beryl will continue to weaken. Rain will be largely confined to its East, and mostly along the coast. Beryl should be in Florida just today. Only a little rain, if any, will reach as far west as Tallahassee. Convection will be mainly to its east.

DISCUSSION: The ridge which as pushed Beryl west will give way to to a front which will drive Beryl to the NE. Beryl briefly developed more classical Tropical Storm characteristics, and while it will weaken as it passes just to the west of Savanna, GA, once it gets into the Atlantic around Charleston, SC, it will regain some strength and once again become a Tropical Storm as it continues up the coast through North Carolina and then out to sea. Greatest concerns are with rip tides and the attraction of elevated surf along SE coast.

NEXT FORECAST: Tuesday, May 29 morning.

Peter Ray

DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.


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Peter S. Ray

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