Area of Interest 6/22/2012 4:am

Colleagues: A cautious area of interest, for possible Tropical Storm development. FORECAST: There is a broad area of low pressure in the southern Gulf that that will come on shore over the next 3 or 4 days, probably in the Central to Eastern Gulf. It will not be a hurricane but could have winds in excess of 45 mph and thus be a Tropical Storm.

DISCUSSION: There is a broad area, centered just North of the Yucatan, of disturbed weather and the Gulf waters are sufficiently warm that the weak (25 mph) storm will very likely intensify and move toward land, most likely in association with a weak cold front that is approaching. At this point, not too much to get excited about. It is If it develops it will be Tropical Storm Debby.

NEXT: Probably Sunday or Monday

Peter Ray

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Peter S. Ray

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