Tropical Storm Debby 5:00 am 6/25/2012

Colleagues, We have a plan. Other that possible showers, and the possibility of some gusts, Debby should not affect normal summer activity except boating. FORECAST: Debby is 50 miles south of Apalachicola with winds of 50 mph and stationary. Debby will be moving very very slowly to the NNE though most of the week. Late in the week I think a trough will eventually move Debby to the NE. The general trend for now is for some weakening, Rain will come and go sporadically however, there is a downward trend for rain. Coastal winds near Apalachicola will be near 45 mph, less everywhere else. Coastal weather will remain much as it is now. In fact, weather everywhere in Florida will remain much as it is and has been the last 24 hours.

DISCUSSION: Models have it going literally everywhere but south. So, no help. Debby is caught between two weak high pressure systems. Not in a favorable location, but can maintain Tropical Storm status for days. Most likely a weak front will come by later in the week and take it to the NE. It could slide a little bit east or west, but mainly just wait for the weak front. This is not a clash of titans but a battle of wimps which is actually more challenging to forecast.

NEXT FORECAST: Tuesday morning

Peter Ray

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Peter S. Ray

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