Colleagues, I wanted to expand on my last forecast for not much chance of additional hurricanes originating in the Eastern Atlantic. I wanted to add that there is almost no chance of the Eastern Coast of Florida being hit by an approaching hurricane and also not much better for North Carolina. However it is possible that one could sneak through. But not not likely at all.
I also said that what possible activity there could be in this last half of the hurricane season (2 1/2 months to go) would likely originate at or near the Caribbean. These storms could develop into hurricanes as the water temps are good for development, but the dynamics is questionable. They could go anywhere in the gulf, but if they are going to develop into hurricanes they are most likely to go to Mexico plus or minus a country north or south. However that does not mean that the northern gulf coast or even (less likely) FL western peninsula could be hit by a minor hurricane. That will become clearer in 3 or 4 weeks. Hard to imagine no more activity. I will monitor daily.
Next forecast when something does develop.
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Peter S. Ray
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