HURRICANE SANDY 10/28/2012 4:30 am

Colleagues, FORECAST: HURRICANE SANDY by noon today will be about 300 mi off the coast of North Carolina moving NE at 12 mph with winds of 75 mph, which makes this a minimal Category 1. No threat of any strengthening. SANDY will come ashore early Tuesday morning, most likely just north of Atlantic City and head toward Philadelphia, quickly become a Tropical Storm and an extratropical depression by late Wednesday, while moving from western central Pennsylvania to western New York State.

The major threat from HURRICANE SANDY is widespread rain, flooding, power outages and rough seas. Expect storm surge as high as 7-8 feet in inlets (where water is funneled and piles up) up the NE coast as far North as Massachusetts . Wind gusts (particularly close to the coast) will exceed hurricane force, Overall, it will not be nearly as bad as IRENE in 2011, but that is moot if your life is affected so it would be prudent to have in the NE some non-perishable food supplies just in case. This storm is very widespread so it will affect a large area many places will have at least a day and half (some places even longer) of steady rain. That translates into local flooding.

Tuesday will be the worst day along the coast, including Washington DC. It is already raining along the coast all up the coast to New York. Expect that rain to be moving inland and north. It will rain in DC for several days. There will be airport delays at DC and, depending on the wind shear, closures. However the situation should improve during Wednesday as the day progresses, although the rain will persist.

NEXT FORECAST: Monday morning, October 29, 2012

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Peter S. Ray

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