Colleagues, FORECAST: HURRICANE SANDY by noon today will be about 300 mi off the coast of North Carolina moving NE at 12 mph with winds of 75 mph, which makes this a minimal Category 1. No threat of any strengthening. SANDY will come ashore early Tuesday morning, most likely just north of Atlantic City and head toward Philadelphia, quickly become a Tropical Storm and an extratropical depression by late Wednesday, while moving from western central Pennsylvania to western New York State.
The major threat from HURRICANE SANDY is widespread rain, flooding, power outages and rough seas. Expect storm surge as high as 7-8 feet in inlets (where water is funneled and piles up) up the NE coast as far North as Massachusetts . Wind gusts (particularly close to the coast) will exceed hurricane force, Overall, it will not be nearly as bad as IRENE in 2011, but that is moot if your life is affected so it would be prudent to have in the NE some non-perishable food supplies just in case. This storm is very widespread so it will affect a large area many places will have at least a day and half (some places even longer) of steady rain. That translates into local flooding.
Tuesday will be the worst day along the coast, including Washington DC. It is already raining along the coast all up the coast to New York. Expect that rain to be moving inland and north. It will rain in DC for several days. There will be airport delays at DC and, depending on the wind shear, closures. However the situation should improve during Wednesday as the day progresses, although the rain will persist.
NEXT FORECAST: Monday morning, October 29, 2012
DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.
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Peter S. Ray
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