HURRICANE SANDY 10/29/2012 4:00am

Colleagues, Previous forecasts still holding. Rain, rain, rain. FORECAST: HURRICANE SANDY continues as a minimal hurricane with winds of 85 mph. SANDY is located 250 miles east of Cape Hatteras NC and moving North at 14 mph as SANDY now begins her turn to the NW. Landfall before midnight very close to Atlantic City when SANDY will very shortly become a Tropical Storm. Then SANDY heads for Philadelphia and north central Pennsylvania and points north, going around much of the upper New England states.

Again, although some wind damage will occur, the major concern is power outages caused by fallen trees and local flooding. Snow in higher elevations will occur from NC north. Sandy will quickly weaken as it makes landfall. Heavy surf, rough seas up the mid-Atlantic and New England states will prevail especially through Tuesday, and storm surge will be an issues in low coastal areas, especially inlets where water is funneled and piles up. Stay out of the water.

Rain in DC now and Tuesday, ending Wednesday morning. Weather improves markedly on Wednesday. The worst will be Today and early tomorrow. This storm will NOT be nearly as bad as IRENE, unless your house gets flooded.

Hurricane for gusts wind will be felt up to Boston in Squalls into Tuesday. New York will get the worst of the winds, but that will be improving by Tuesday.

DISCUSSION: Sandy will continue to transition to an extratropical system today as the baroclinic forcing increases. It will become a cold core low, instead of a warm core low, for those who care. While New England will get rain, mostly from the frontal system, I think it could be said that New England will be largely spared from Sandy.

If you want more politics, final arguments will quickly and fully resume in the battle ground states, tomorrow or Wednesday.

NEXT FORECAST:Monday evening, October 39, 1012

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Peter S. Ray

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