[hurricane-forecast] Tropical Storm Humberto 8/10/2013 4:30am

Friends, A couple of storms to watch, but nothing from them will affect the USA FORECAST: Tropical Storm Humberto has winds of 55 mph and is in the eastern Atlantic headed to the NW at 9 mph. It will, by tomorrow, become a hurricane (a Category 2) as it turns north. By the end of the week it will again weaken. DISCUSSION: Tropical Storm Humberto is in warm water and low shear so, for the next day or so, Humberto should strengthen significantly. By the end of the week TS Humberto will encounter cooler waters and weaken. A passing trough is turning it abruptly north now, but by Friday the ridge will rebuild and Humberto will turn toward the west at at the latitude of South Florida, but far to the east. Humberto will not regain strength as far into the future it is possible to predict, which would be into next week. My forecast is that it will continue to weaken and another trough will pick it up, posing no threat to the USA. Gabrielle has become a little better organized and has winds of 40 mph (barely making it a tropical storm). Gabrielle is headed straight north towards Bermuda. Gabrielle will pass Bermuda tonight as a very weak tropical storm. Most likely if we are threatened to by a hurricane it will form closer to home, as in the Caribbean or eastern Gulf. NEXT FORECAST: Tomorrow, Wednesday September 11 Peter Ray DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it. NEW BLOG AND DONATIONS: I have set up a website and blog which may be reached at URL http://www.hurricanehunt.com In this website you can find the forecast, as well as a blog of expanded interests of mine dealing with weather and climate and hurricanes, and an opportunity for you to comment as well. There is also an opportunity for you to contribute to defraying the increasing costs of maintaining this service, if and only if you want to. This must always be a not for profit public service and free as long as I have anything to do with it. But I have had offers of help in the past and it is increasingly difficult for me to underwrite all the cost, even with the generous and gracious support form Hayes Computer Systems. SUBSCRIPTIONS: Please do NOT send subscription messages to hurricane-forecasts@lists.hcs.net. To subscribe or unsubscribe to the hurricane forecast list send an email to hurricane-forecast-request@lists.hcs.net with "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" as the subject. You can manage your subscription at: http://lists.hcs.net/mailman/listinfo/hurricane-forecast_lists.hcs.net If someone wishes to contact me, they can send an email to hurricanehunter007@gmail.com. Peter S. Ray _______________________________________________ hurricane-forecast mailing list hurricane-forecast@lists.hcs.net http://lists.hcs.net/mailman/listinfo/hurricane-forecast_lists.hcs.net