Colleagues, FORECAST: HURRICANE ALEX finally did it, and became this Atlantic Hurricane Season's first Hurricane. Happy Birthday. HURRICANE ALEX is about 150 miles off the coast and headed due west at 6 mph with msw of 80 miles per hour. HURRICANE ALEX should make landfall about 100 miles south of Brownsville, Texas a little after midnight. Brownsville and all of Texas should experience some higher gust but sustained winds of no more than about 35 miles per hours. ALEX will remain a Category 1 hurricane until landfall in northern Mexico.
DISCUSSION: HURRICANE ALEX is making a clear move to the west, and maybe a tad to the north of that. ALEX may slow down a bit as the steering currents are weak, accounting for the lack of clear certainty in the path projections in the past few days. The storm's RELATIVELY minor impact on oil recovery operations should be rapidly disappearing.
NEXT FORECAST: Thursday, July 1
DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.
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Peter S. Ray
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