Colleagues, I expect to post a new blog very soon at http://www.hurricanehunt.com If you are interested.
FORECAST: Tropical Storm COLIN is in the mid Atlantic moving WNW at a fast 23 mph with winds of 40 mph. It will NOT hit Florida, but I can not rule out North Carolina next week. For the remainder of this week Tropical Storm will approach, but not become a Hurricane.
DISCUSSION: Tropical Storm COLIN is moving into sustaining environmental conditions which will cause some strengthening, but then it will level off below hurricane strength. Toward the end of the week it will enter a region of westerly shear which will inhibit further intensification. The storm should pass just north of the Leeward Islands towards the end of the week, but miss Florida by about 350 miles or so.
NEXT FORECAST: Wednesday morning
DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.
NEW BLOG AND DONATIONS:
I have set up a website and blog which may be reached at URL http://www.hurricanehunt.com In this website you can find the forecast, as well as a blog of expanded interests of mine dealing with weather and climate and hurricanes, and an opportunity for you to comment as well. There is also an opportunity for you to contribute to defraying the increasing costs of maintaining this service, if and only if you want to. This must always be a not for profit public service and free as long as I have anything to do with it. But I have had offers of help in the past and it is increasingly difficult for me to underwrite all the cost, even with the generous and gracious support form Hayes Computer Systems.
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Peter S. Ray
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