Colleagues, FORECAST: Tropical Depression 6 became Tropical Storm Danielle with winds of 50 mph. Location is about 1500 miles east of the Leeward Islands and moving in to the NW at 12 mph. Tropical Storm Danielle will continue to intensify and become a hurricane sometime tomorrow evening ,and this coming weekend pass east of Bermuda and not make landfall anywhere in the US.
DISCUSSION: Decreasing shear and favorable water temperatures are the primary reasons for intensification. Steering is largely controlled by a mid Atlantic ridge and a front that is just about to leave the eastern US. No chance of this hurricane impacting the US. It is likely msw (maximum sustained winds) winds will eventually get to around 100 mph, and Bermuda might get some rain from the western edge next weekend.
NEXT FORECAST: Tomorrow morning
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Peter S. Ray
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