Colleagues, FORECAST: Tropical Depression 6 became Tropical Storm Danielle with winds of 50 mph. Location is about 1500 miles east of the Leeward Islands and moving in to the NW at 12 mph. Tropical Storm Danielle will continue to intensify and become a hurricane sometime tomorrow evening ,and this coming weekend pass east of Bermuda and not make landfall anywhere in the US.
DISCUSSION: Decreasing shear and favorable water temperatures are the primary reasons for intensification. Steering is largely controlled by a mid Atlantic ridge and a front that is just about to leave the eastern US. No chance of this hurricane impacting the US. It is likely msw (maximum sustained winds) winds will eventually get to around 100 mph, and Bermuda might get some rain from the western edge next weekend.
NEXT FORECAST: Tomorrow morning
DISCLAIMER: The Florida State University required that I not use any FSU equipment to send out these forecasts. To comply, I have purchased my own computer for making and sending these forecasts. I have been touched by the many offers of encouragement and support that I have received. I am deeply indebted to the Secretary and the staff of the Department of Children and Families who value these forecasts for the citizens of Florida. Also to the firm Hayes Computer Systems, which set up the distribution software and is providing for the distribution of these forecasts at no cost. They are very professional and competent. I acknowledge that these forecasts are mine alone, by my own effort and initiative. I only try to provide the best possible forecasts for the community, and the State of Florida and now, surrounding states at no cost to those who receive it.
NEW BLOG AND DONATIONS:
I have set up a website and blog which may be reached at URL http://www.hurricanehunt.com In this website you can find the forecast, as well as a blog of expanded interests of mine dealing with weather and climate and hurricanes, and an opportunity for you to comment as well. There is also an opportunity for you to contribute to defraying the increasing costs of maintaining this service, if and only if you want to. This must always be a not for profit public service and free as long as I have anything to do with it. But I have had offers of help in the past and it is increasingly difficult for me to underwrite all the cost, even with the generous and gracious support form Hayes Computer Systems.
Please do NOT send subscription messages to email@example.com.
To subscribe or unsubscribe to the hurricane forecast list send an email to firstname.lastname@example.org with "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" as the subject. You can manage your subscription at: http://lists.hcs.net/mailman/listinfo/hurricane-forecast_lists.hcs.net If someone wishes to contact me, they can send an email to email@example.com.
Peter S. Ray
_______________________________________________ hurricane-forecast mailing list firstname.lastname@example.org http://lists.hcs.net/mailman/listinfo/hurricane-forecast_lists.hcs.net